3 Sigma Formula for Trend Analysis Limits : Pharmaguideline
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  • Nov 9, 2014

    3 Sigma Formula for Trend Analysis Limits

    Alert and action limit for trend analysis in pharmaceuticals is a mandatory requirement for cGMP. These limits are obtained using 3 sigma formula.
    All observations related to the water system and environmental monitoring are subject to trend analysis. Trends are prepared but its limit always remains a point of discussion because all regulatory guidelines provide a single limit for the tests. No alert and action limit is given.

    There are many formulas to determine the in-house alert and action limits but 3 sigma formula is more reliable and widely used formula.

    Trend ChartTo determine these limits first of all standard deviation of the result values is calculated and then it is added in the average of all values. For example:

    If you have 10 user points of purified water having the official limit 100 cfu/ml and has a data of 15 days, calculate the alert and action limits in following way.

    Average of all results = 11.28
    Standard deviation (Sigma) = 4.16
    Alert Limit = Average+(2xSigma)
    =11.28+(2x4.16)
    =20 cfu/ml

    Action Limit = Average+(3xSigma)
    =11.28+(3x4.16)
    =24 cfu/ml

    Sampling Point
    Results of Different Days
    1st
    2nd
    3rd
    4th
    5th
    6th
    7th
    8th
    9th
    10th
    11th
    12th
    13th
    14th
    15th
    SP01
    05
    08
    11
    06
    08
    05
    12
    06
    06
    10
    12
    11
    06
    13
    17
    SP02
    08
    13
    06
    11
    08
    09
    07
    10
    08
    06
    13
    11
    07
    09
    06
    SP03
    12
    19
    08
    12
    13
    09
    07
    15
    12
    10
    10
    13
    09
    07
    12
    SP04
    18
    10
    09
    13
    06
    09
    11
    10
    12
    08
    12
    08
    06
    11
    09
    SP05
    12
    08
    11
    08
    04
    15
    09
    06
    12
    10
    07
    13
    16
    10
    12
    SP06
    05
    12
    08
    06
    06
    19
    12
    10
    09
    11
    08
    08
    08
    12
    16
    SP07
    10
    13
    09
    16
    12
    08
    11
    10
    14
    24
    18
    21
    16
    12
    16
    SP08
    16
    18
    08
    11
    22
    12
    09
    14
    12
    06
    10
    16
    20
    11
    13
    SP09
    09
    18
    22
    09
    14
    06
    13
    09
    14
    12
    07
    13
    16
    09
    11
    SP10
    15
    22
    08
    12
    09
    13
    17
    20
    14
    08
    08
    13
    11
    19
    22


    Results should not exceed the alert limit and investigation should be done whenever it exceeds. Result exceeding the action limit shows the serious problem in the water system and must be rectified immediately.

    Note: Sufficient data should be available to determine the alert and action limits by 3 sigma formula. Alert and action limit of water system and environmental monitoring should be calculated with minimum one year data because results vary in different seasons of the year.

    WHO (TRS-970 page-85) also suggests establishing the alert and action limits for water system and trending should not exceed 2 sigma. An investigation for the results exceeding the alert limit should be done for the root cause. Appropriate corrective action should be taken to prevent the cause.
    Download 3 sigma formula in excel calculation sheet.

    1 comment: Post Yours! Read Comment Policy ▼

    1. Anonymous23 August

      As per TRS-970 established action and alert limit for water system should be exceed 2 sigma. what is the meaning of 2 sigma and 3 sigma calculation.

      ReplyDelete

    Please don't spam. Comments having links would not be published.


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